Disney Earnings - Are People Taking Vacations Anymore?

For those of us in the cruise industry, itsand pricing are up) we saw from Royal Caribbean.
important to follow all companies in the vacationAre consumers choosing the cruise vacation over
space as this helps answer the key question: Arethe land/resort vacation? It could be the case
consumers spending on vacations again?that, more and more, the "value" of a cruise
Well, according to the latest Disney results its avacation is resonating with recession-wary
mixed bag. Overall, Disney's earning surpassedconsumers. Or maybe consumers just like really,
most analysts' expectations. But when you divereally big ships (exhibit A: Oasis of the Seas).
into the earnings, most of the good results wereSeriously though, the discounting is a big issue.
driven by the media division (ESPN, DisneyGetting consumers out of this mindset is not
channels) and the studio business. Parks andgoing to be easy, for any vacation company.
resorts (which includes Disney Cruise Line )What's your take?
reported flat revenues (from last year) and profitFaraz
was down 2%.Earnings numbers for you finance hounds:
One issue Disney's CFO highlighted was decreasedDow member Walt Disney Co. (DIS $30) reported
spending and ticket prices due to discounting.fiscal 1Q EPS ex-items of $0.47, compared to the
They hope to "eventually make [their] way out of$0.39 that Wall Street analysts had expected,
discounting," but gradually. For the current quarterwith revenues increasing 1% year-over-year (y
bookings are down 10%, but "guests continue toy) to $9.7 billion, versus the Street's forecast,
book their rooms closer to their travel date".which called for revenues to come in at $9.6 billion.
So, what's the verdict? Our take is folks continueRevenues at its media networks rose 7% y/y to
to take vacations but are not spending as much$4.2 billion, its parks and resorts revenues came in
when they are on vacation. Consumers are alsoflat versus last year at $2.7 billion, while its studio
expecting big discounts and are thus waiting toentertainment unit saw its revenues dip 1% to
book their travel closer to the travel date.$1.9 billion.
Contrast this with the positive earnings (bookings